Well, the last November games are here… and then it’s the December crunch where I have to remember to post more than once a week. But without further ado, let me roll out this weeks picks. I’m aiming for a 100% record this week but I’ll settle for for the current form of most of Arsenal’s midfield – average.
Every year the season kicks off and we watch the games played counter creep up. There are surprise results (West Ham in the Top 4) and there are the normal state of affairs (Chelsea and Manchester City at the top) and the truly bizarre (Newcastle move relegation to Europe with a few wins on the bounce) and finally there is the slow formation of the table into something that starts to make sense. Teams are drifting into position and trends are beginning to set. Away form, home form, lack of goalscoring, defensive frailties, all have taken off their masks to reveal themselves.
Perhaps the biggest surprise is the weekly feeling that this is the week that Manchester United, Arsenal, and Liverpool will turn things around and the week that Southampton will continue to stay high up the table.
Even without having a World Cup in Qatar during the winter this year things are going to be thrown up and mixed up.
Take Southampton, as an example, they have 11 games in 42 days and it starts this week with Manchester City, Arsenal, and Manchester United (unfortunately, I still consider them a decent team). They are playing 11.29.2014 and 12.03.2014 which is quick turnaround but nothing like the Crystal Palace and Chelsea on 12.26.2014 and 12.28.2014. This period clearly favors the larger squads and is one of the reasons that being in the bottom 3 now doesn’t bode well. It also favors teams that don’t get mixed in other events – Liverpool have s similar schedule with the Milk Cup (which I recommend they try and win) and Champions League games thrown in as well.
Seems that the team that will benefit will be Manchester United, and oh how I hate that.
It’s been so long since the last picks I’ve forgotten who’s who and who’s where in the Premier League. I think Chelsea is top. I think Spurs are still crap. I think Liverpool are underperforming and I think I recall West Ham were in the top half?
Oh well. Just quick picks today without any snark. I may add some while watching the games – but I won’t change my picks. I was late getting to this today. I checked my traffic today and I’m the only one who cares what I write anyway. I don’t believe anyone actually comes to this site from outside of my luxurious office, perhaps one day I’ll live tweet matches, follow people, sell out. I’ll be like the Manchester United of blogs – for now I’m happy being the Racing Club Warwick of blogs (their reserves at least).
I really should figure out a way to automate the making of this site. Every week creating a table to capture results and then hours of dedicated analysis before taking the remaining time quickly hacking together the text because it’s late takes an awful long time. Thankfully, it’s pretty easy to predict that Spurs are going to be rubbish.
I started this site to capture the picks and commentary I used to make every Friday afternoon in 10 minutes over instant messenger in the office. It was less serious and far more silly but that’s what made it charming and funny. Perhaps next week I’ll go back to the old format and just cut and paste the discussion in here – it’ll be like “Men In Blazers” only it will be “Men In Business Casual” in separate cities finding each other to discuss the happenings of Liverpool and Watford football clubs.
It was fortunate that Levi reminded me this week that there were games – for some reason I thought this was an empty week.
Coming soon I will create a summary post. I’ve done well some weeks and poorly others- I think it will be interesting to come up with a method of actually calculating how well (or not) I’ve done. Anyway…moving on because I’m at that stage where I’m quickly hacking something … like Paul Scholes trying to make a tackle !
This is not going to end well
8-Nov-14
Liverpool
1-1
Chelsea
West Ham United
1-0
Aston Villa
Southampton
2-0
Leicester City
Manchester United
3-1
Crystal Palace
Burnley
0-1
Hull City
Queens Park Rangers
1-2
Manchester City
So this week I promised Levi that I would pick against Liverpool as my prior selections have obviously had a negative impact on the game (much less than Sturridge’s absence, apparently). I really want to pick Chelsea with my brain. I really want to pick Liverpool with my heart (more because it hates Chelsea than loves Liverpool). So what am I supposed to do? Brendan rested half of his squad against Real Madrid in the week. This has been reported as a move that makes this game more important than it is: there is no justification needed for mid-week team selection. Liverpool had the ability to rest players throughout the year and stay fresh because European football was something they watched and didn’t participate in.. who am I kidding? Suarez gone. Sturridge out. Jordan Henderson playing more like the average player he is. Liverpool isn’t as good, end of discussion. Are Chelsea showing signs of sputtering? I don’t think so but Anfield is worth -1 goal for the opposition and Chelsea park the bus against bigger teams on the road. 1-1
If they lose? I suggest Liverpool focus on the Milk Cup.
West Ham and Villa. For you a little poem: Roses are Red. You play in Claret and Blue. Both of you are rubbish. That’s enough of you two. Benteke out as a result of the red card against Spuds last week and that doesn’t help – 3 games for touching the face of someone putting their head in your face seems harsh to me. 1-0
Southampton have been playing well with their famous skilled players that include England international Nathaniel Clyne. Leicester are in a free fall since they left Manchester United on the tail end of a 5-3 whupping. 2-0
Manchester United have benefited from some weak play at the top of the table that has kept them in touch with the top 4 putting them higher in the table than they deserve. Crystal Palace are bad but Neil Warnock will organize them for battle and try and play a stifling game. It won’t work. Manchester United seem to be playing better with the now superb signing of Fellaini reaping rewards as he clearly is their best player (well he was a couple of weeks ago). As long as they keep their cool they will breeze by the London team. Rooney will probably score because there is an international coming up and , you know, got to give the England fans hope that we can win. 3-1
Burnley. Roses are Red. You play in Claret and Blue. You are rubbish. That’s enough of you. Hull City Tigers are a tough team and will eek out a win. I won’t know if the game is good or not because these are two teams I generally avoid when picking who I want to watch at the weekend. 0-1.
Manchester City took advantage of a small(ing) error by Manchester United last week and appeared once again to be turning the tide. Then they went to Europe and walked around and let CSKA beat them in Champions League. Let’s keep it simple and assume that Pellegrini knows how to have a Roy Keane type moment scare or stir his team into action. They are nothing like the team of last year and yet are still the only real challenge to Chelski so it’s important that they turn it around. Ya Ya was the best player in the league last year – this year he’s not even the best player on the team and it shows. He shows flashes of brilliance, like the pass that broke open Man U, but flashes of laziness with weak efforts from distance. I suspect any flash is good enough to beat QPR.
Flash GordonPublic Flash
Well maybe not any flash, but one flash of brilliance from YaYa or Sergio ought to be plenty.
Flash of Brilliance..
It won’t though and they’ll win a hard earned 3 pts with a late goal.
8-Nov-14
Sunderland
0-1
Everton
West Bromwich Albion
2-2
Newcastle United
Tottenham Hotspur
2-1
Stoke City
Swansea City
2-2
Arsenal
Everton are inconsistent and looked poor last week. Sunderland are inconsistent now (though consistently drawing early on) and won last week. Form says that Everton will win.
West Bromwich and Newcastle are two teams that just scream entertaining game when paired up. It’s going to be end to end with lots of goals and ultimately Alan Pardew gets a result away from his now adoring fans! 2-2 seems a fair and good result.
I suggest Spurs focus on the Milk Cup. It’s pretty clear that this week Harry Cane will start for the Spuds which can only mean they find a new way to look bad for the first half with Harry failing to score or get a shot in. At half time they will bring him off and Adebayor or Soldado (not sure who will be benched with Harry on) will come on and look like Marco Van Basten and score a cracker that breaks the game open and sets up another that brings the game home. A late consolation can’t ruin the weekend but now Pochettino will have anothe striker crisis. Everyone makes career choices they regret – I think he wishes he was back at Southampton where the winning is easy. 2-1.
Arsenal get Wolcott back. Arsenal have Giroud in training. Arsenal have Sanchez playing like he’s the buy of the year. It’s all looking up! But then they get on the field and it doesn’t gel and come together. Swansea aren’t a bad team, and at home you have to think they have a good chance. Especially when you consider Arsenal’s defense is just not a good solution and is struggling to keep the goals out. Letting in 3 against Anderlecht had Piers Morgan begging Kompany to join (until they lost to CSKA). They’ll do well, score 2 and draw.
It’s halloween and I’m sure many people in Spain are dressed up as the vampirous Mr Suarez.
Vampire Suarez
It is a shame that it’s so easy to make fun of Suarez because it really negates how much Liverpool miss him this year, especially with Sturridge hurt and Balotelli playing like he wants to hurt Brendan’s chances of actually fielding a winning team. Early this week Mr Suarez (in a losing effort) showed off his seemingly unlimited skills while making us forget he missed a chance earlier in the game. Of course if the guy with the skilled feed wasn’t such a flat out A1 idiot none of this would be discussed in the first place.
1-Nov-14
Newcastle United
1-1
Liverpool
Leicester City
2-2
West Bromwich Albion
Stoke City
1-1
West Ham United
Hull City
1-2
Southampton
Everton
2-1
Swansea City
Chelsea
3-0
Queens Park Rangers
Arsenal
3-1
Burnley
Liverpool are not the same team as they were last year and nor apparently are Newcastle. Alan Pardew is rapidly moving from zero to hero and losing his position as favorite to get the sack to Gus Poyet and Harry Redknapp who’s looking more and more defeated.. almost as much as his team feels defeated…and more to the point, how he used to feel at Spurs a few years ago.
Harry is now Favorite for the Sack
So with teams going in different directions, it’s only fair to assume they will meet in the middle. 1-1. Question is, who will score the goal for the reds? Will it be Balotelli? Will Markovic show up? I still think Liverpool are a team that will improve as the season goes on and the young players buy into his system. Oh, and they give up on Balotelli and the Englishman who can’t score.
Midlands derby. Leicester and West Brom duke it out like two teams in the middle of the table. Rough, quick, an “advert for the English game” as the commentators say. Game will be split and honours shared.
It’s about time someone put West Ham in their place – that place being anywhere in the lower half of the Premier League (or preferably the lower divisions). The Giraffe might be lanky but scoring for him is a tall order…. geddit? That joke is as good as this score draw bore draw will be.
There is a part of me saying “Pick the Home team, Pick the Home team” and there is another piece of me saying “Hull are rubbish, Steve Bruce is a crap manager”. Looks like I think that Steve Bruce is crapper than playing at home is an advantage. To be fair to Steve Bruce, he has them mid table and fighting week in and week out… to be unfair, I wonder if this is the week he literally pops and explodes on the field.
Everton are going to be in the right half of the table (or is that top half) after winning against a decent Swansea team. Lukaku is going to score and Everton will continue to make Goodison park a place that no one wants to go by channeling their inner David Moyes. Martinez will dial back the passing and rely on the long ball over the top which will fail until his big forward pops up to score from a set piece. A right proper English goal for the Belgian.
Chelsea will beat QPR into a pulp. The scoreline will stay on the classy side of a massive defeat because everyone knows that Hazard can get lazy..
Arsenal are in need of a win because Arsene is beginning to hear the rumblings of the crowd again… they want him out (because they want Bruce Rioch or George Graham back?). Meanwhile he will use the magic of his mind to make the referee miss obvious and flagrant fouls in the same way he does but it doesn’t work as Jack Wilshere does his best impression of an impetuous Gascoigne and gets himself sent off for two yellow cards created by refusing to brake as he runs towards an enemy combatant. It will be after Sanchez has scores twice and Theo comes on and adds a little pace (and a goal) so it won’t matter in the long run. Sanchez will enjoy his new role as a free roaming player and start to show off what he can offer in the right position.
You Will Not Send Off My Players
2-Nov-14
Manchester City
3-3
Manchester United
Aston Villa
1-2
Tottenham Hotspur
I had already forgotten the 5-2 whupping of last year but still remember the 5-1 drubbing of yesteryear put on by the young Maine Road kids that failed to live up to subsequent expectations. Neither teams knows how to defend and bot teams know how to score. End to end… will be a thriller with two goals early, two goals late and the false hope of a decider for a short period in the middle. It will always be United chasing the game but that will suit LVG who will claim that they are hoping to reach the standard of their neighbours as they are tired of being the second best team (almost) in Manchester. Fans of the Reds are happy with the result and will enjoy the 2 hour ride back to London.
I do not want to pick the Hot Spurts away… but this is the Villains opportunity to blow another game and drift down the table. No idea who can score for Spurs but I’ll venture a guess and say Eriksen because he’s the only forward they have. Soldado will probably score a penalty as Lamela gets fouled in the box.
3-Nov-14
Crystal Palace
1-0
Sunderland
I don’t really watch Monday games. This one I really won’t even try to watch. Yawn.