May 16, 2015 Premier League Picks

Southampton have gone absent and all of a sudden Tim Sherwood is manager of the year and Benteke is the Aguero of Birmingham!  Technically, not yet safe it’s hard to see them pull a FA Cup and relegation double of Wigan.

Manager of the End of the Year?

West Ham and Everton have nothing to play for but pride and I’m not sure either team have any left, especially the underachieving team of Martin-ez. They’re at least safe but that’s falling short of  beginning of the year expectations.

Big Six pointer at Sunderland against Leicester city who are on an unbelievable run of seven wins in eight games.  While that should have left them safe they started so many points back that they are still in the thick of the relegation bubble.  A loss to Sunderland drops them back into the final day consideration for the drop.

Harry Kane and the rest of Spurs are absent and have been for a while … it’s hard to see them winning unless you are on the A503

Except Walthamstow

Burnley have been trying hard all year so it’s only fair that after the final bell and the fight is over they can collapse and take stock of how beaten up they have become.  They punched above their weight but the bigger men are always stronger but there’s a couple of minutes left so they’re going to go down swinging.
QPR are a mess that we can look forward to going down – overpaid, overprivileged, and looking around at each other trying to figure out what to do.  Last week their hammering came in part because no one on the team were ware that they wereon a team.

What is it we’re trying to do again?

Liverpool will win the last home game of Stevie G.  A loss would be inexcusable.

16-May 2015  
Southampton 1-2Aston Villa
West Ham United1-1Everton
Sunderland2-0Leicester City
Tottenham Hotspur 1-1Hull City
Burnley2-1Stoke City
Queens Park Rangers1-2Newcastle United
Liverpool2-0Crystal Palace
17-May 2015  
Swansea City1-2Manchester City
Manchester United2-2Arsenal

Both Manchester City and Arsenal want to wrap up an automatic European spot for next year.  Aguero also wants to wrap up his scoring title and that should be easy (especially as Harry Kane is out of the purple and into the will it continue for him patch).

Arsenal were the best team in the country until they lost to Swansea.  You ever get the feeling that Arsene doesn’t want to feel comfortable in his job? I’ve got 2nd wrapped up but maybe the fans enjoy more if we finish 3rd?  A draw in the old toilet game makes the game in hand a must win but do you deserve Europe if you can’t get a must  win at home against Sunderland?   I don’t think so either but I still prefer the European cup old style- Champions in a knock out.  The fact that Stevie G has a European cup but not title doesn’t compute in my universe.

18-May 2015  
West Bromwich Albion1-0Chelsea

West Brom will beat Chelsea for the simple reason that it doesn’t matter.  Both have managers who like the defensive side of the ball when it’s not necessary to push so it should be 0-0 but I have this feeling West Brom want to win more.

20-May 2015  
Arsenal1-0Sunderland

It’s a game in hand that Arsenal win and  leaves Sunderland still looking down at the teams below them for the final week.

 

May 9, 2015 Premier League Picks

9-May 2015  
Everton2-0Sunderland
Aston Villa 1-1West Ham United
Hull City 1-1Burnley
Leicester City 2-1Southampton
Newcastle United 0-2West Bromwich Albion
Stoke City 1-2Tottenham Hotspur
Crystal Palace 1-1 Manchester United
10-May 2015  
Manchester City 1-1Queens Park Rangers
Chelsea1-1Liverpool
11-May 2015  
Arsenal2-1Swansea City

April 28, 2015 Premier League Picks

Well I’ve been absent for a three weeks traveling abroad (for work) where I checked out a couple of different forms of sports.

One was called football but it looked more like rugby.

Referee! Handball!

One was called rugby and it looked like rugby.

Referee! Handball! Foul!

Anyway… I did make picks and they are included below.  I think it is clear that there is no cheating going on here – in fact, if I didn’t know better I would assume the picks may have been part of an experiment.

The Taste of a Tottenham Loss Is In the Air

The picks.

18-Apr 2015  
Stoke City1-1Southampton
Crystal Palace2-0West Bromwich Albion
Leicester City1-0Swansea City
Everton2-1Burnley
Chelsea 1-1Manchester United

19-Apr 2015  
Manchester City1-0West Ham United
Newcastle United1-2Tottenham Hotspur

25-Apr 2015  
Southampton3-1Tottenham Hotspur
West Bromwich Albion1-2Liverpool
Queens Park Ragers 1-1West Ham United
Stoke City 2-1Sunderland
Burnley 1-2Leicester City
Crystal Palace2-0Hull City
Newcastle United1-1Swansea City
Manchester City3-1Aston Villa

26-Apr 2015  
Everton2-1Manchester United
Arsenal2-1Chelsea

28-Apr 2015  
Hull City1-1Liverpool

29-Apr 2015  
Leicester1-1Chelsea

2-May 2015  
Manchester United1-0West Bromwich Albion
Liverpool1-1Queens Park Rangers
Aston Villa1-2Everton
Sunderland0-1Southampton
West Ham United1-1Burnley
Swansea City1-0Stoke City
Leicester City2-1Newcastle United

3-May 2015  
Tottenham Hotspur1-2Manchester City
Chelsea1-0Crystal Palace

4-May 2015  
Hull City1-3Arsenal

April 11, 2015 Premier League Picks

At an interesting point in the season where we’re left to be excited about a Manchester derby, relegation battles, and the potential automatic European spots. In other words everyone outside of SW doesn’t care about the Premier League anymore.   That is, of course, for those of us not watching the battle at the top of the old second division.

2nd

If Bournemouth hadn’t beaten Brighton today it would look even closer but it’s definitely tight at the top.

But this is Premier League picks and not a “fingers crossed for a Watford victory” post!

Really only one interesting game today as the former Spurs manager Mr Guts and Hearts shows up at White Heart Lane (yes that was deliberate) with his new team and hat trick hero Benteke in tow.

Just One Win…please?

Everton have finally quashed the notion that they could relegation fodder and should be looking to make an end of season surge to mid-table mediocrity.  Swansea are already positions there and will be looking to not fall to bottom half mediocrity.  It’s hard to imagine anything less than a hotly contested game when the level of mediocrity is at stake.  Everton playing in Wales will bring it home.

Leicester feel the excitement of a win and then immediately feel the disappointment of the teams above them matching their 3 points.  Deflated, I expect them to fall to a team that is eager to show improvement after being whipped last week at home against QPR.

Leicester City

 

 

 

 

 

West Ham have shown their true class since the Christmas period – lower and falling.  Stoke has not been much better.  Tied on 42 pts which is typically the pre-season relegation avoidance target, both will move to the safety of 43 pts.

And then we get to Spurs taking on their former manager:

Saw my mate,
the other day,
said he saw, the White pele,
said to find him at White hart lane
goes by the name of Harry Kane”

Eventually he will be found wanting but not by Aston Villa.

Pardiola has kept up both Crystal Palace and Newcastle this year – individually those are feats of merit. Together he should be considered a lock for manager of the year.  Sunderland with a big derby win last week will carry momentum into the game and walk away with a boring one niller.

Southampton are slowly falling out of European contention and desperately need a win and some favorable results to keep them alive.  Hull on the other hand are slowly falling out of any contention and into the relegation danger area and need favorable results to keep them alive.  Southampton win.

Arsenal are the in form team and will continue to put some pressure on Chelsea.

Low Pressure…

11-Apr 2015  
Swansea City0-1Everton
West Bromwich Albion2-1Leicester City
West Ham United1-1Stoke City
Tottenham Hotspur2-0Aston Villa
Sunderland2-1Crystal Palace
Southampton2-1Hull City
Burnley1-3Arsenal

Chelsea meet a decidedly stubborn QPR but will once again come away with a victory and Hazard will continue to amass popular opinion points that he is player of the year by scoring a penalty.  The commentator will amass popular hate points by pointing out that he looks at the goalkeeper when scoring the penalty…*yawn* … did you know that Panenka….*zzz*…. some stories get old.

Old Toilet.  It’s where Manchester United play (officially located outside of Manchester) and describes Manchester City’s defense.  Citeh look like they’ve given up.  Ya Ya runs around like he’s still looking for his birthday cake and belting the ball mostly off target (yes, I know he scored).  Manchester United have continuously over achieved and they will continue to do so with a lack luster draw.

12-Apr 2015  
Queens Park Rangers1-2Chelsea
Manchester United1-1Manchester City

Brendan manages to figure out how to make Sterling, Coutinho, and Sturridge play together.  Result is a respectably scored massacre.

13-Apr 2015  
Liverpool2-0Newcastle United.

April 7, 2015 Premier League Picks

Things were so interesting today with Watford scoring a 2-0 win over Middlesborough with Troy Deeney scoring 20 goals three seasons in a row …

Short Stuffing

… that I almost didn’t notice that Manchester Citeh will be going into the Old Toilet looking up at the team from “almost Manchester”.   What has happened to a team full of aging stars that want to leave, aren’t any good, or just don’t have the class of younger talent, backed with the most overrated goalkeeper in the league?   One would think that with all they’ve spent they would be giving James Boring Milner away.  They should be begging him to stay like they did Frank Lampard for the last few months.  With financial fair play it’s hard to know what Citeh are going to do to rebuild.  They can offload players at a loss and start again – or can they?  What a mess.  Worst defense of the title since Leeds back in 1992-3 – if that counts as a Premier League defense.

But what about them Eagles?  Looks like Pardew should be manager of the year for keeping the inept Newcastle and Crystal Palace up in the same year!   Of course some say that this win was because Citeh confused their shirts for Barcelona and gave up before the game even started.

 

Barcelona Shirt (No Sponsor)
Crystal Palace Shirt

Perhaps next year they can look for a new manager  current odds are:

  • Pep Guardiola 5-1
  • Alan Pardiola 14-1

Leicester City must be gutted this week to final win and then see the three teams above them win.  Well this day they have some luck because some of their competition for last are playing each other.   It’s hard to go for QPR away but I’ve been insistent that Villa will go down since week 1 and that’s the only prediction I made that will come true*

07-Apr 2015  
Aston Villa0-1Queens Park Rangers

*It should be noted that I actually had Chelsea to win the title but I hate Mourinho so much I couldn’t even bear to put them top so I put them down lower.   This year is practice for next year anyway – I’m developing formula for predictology that I will institute next year to get my prediction percentage up to around something better than crap (which is where I am right now).

April 5, 2015 Premier League Picks

Critical game for Liverpool if their intentions are to not allow Steven Gerrard to ruin two consecutive seasons.  A six point swing here will see Liverpool well off the pace for a top three and still a couple of wins back from Manchester “how the hell are they this high in the table” United.

How you let yourself get sent off against your arch-nemesis in a key game after 50 seconds is impossible to comprehend.  How you can play for your boyhood team for 20 years and be a legend and then potentially ruin it in your last two seasons could be a very sad end to a great career.

Red Card for Gerrard

Oh wait, that’s not the game.

Gerrard with another Red Card

That’s better.  He’s done it before maybe it’s his brain.

And for completeness.

Letting the Title Slip Away

Anyway – I let the domain expire and spent a good deal of time getting it renewed and back.  I would have done it this afternoon but I was busy watching a referee almost blow Watford’s season to smithereens with a dubious red card (not the first) … but ended up watching a heroic away draw against Derby County with a goal from Ighalo

Ighalo – Again!

All I know is that the kid above will be in the Premier League next year.  Who for is unknown but he will be there.

04-Apr 2015  
Arsenal2-1Liverpool
West Bromwich Albion 2-0Queens Park Rangers
Manchester United1-1Aston Villa
Swansea City 2-1Hull City
Everton 1-0Southampton
Leicester City 2-1West Ham United
Chelsea2-0Stoke City
05-Apr 2015
Burnley1-2Tottenham Hotspur
Sunderland2-1Newcastle United
06-Apr 2015
Crystal Palace1-2Manchester City

A quick summary.

Arsenal are on a good run and at home they can beat anyone.  Liverpool have been playing well but with Sturridge back we’ve seen the return of a top striker; however, at the cost of form from Coutinho.

West Bromwich Albion have been slowly getting closer and closer to the drop but they’re at home against the team that seems to have just given up and resigned itself to a fate in the old 2nd Division next year.

Manchester United have been horrible this year but are still up near the top.  Aston Villa have been horrible this year and are deservedly near the bottom of the table.  But Villa scored multiple times last week and so I have to believe they have a good chance.

Everton are on the upswing.  They are focused on the league and tired of looking over their own shoulder at the relegation picture.  Better than their position and, on paper, better than their play to date.

Leicester are playing Jesus this year… they plan on coming back from the dead and they’re starting this weekend.

Swansea are higher in the table and at home.   Hull are struggling.

Chelsea will win.  They are Chelsea.

I’m tired of saying that Harry Kane is over-chieving so this week I have high expectations for Spurs.

Sunderland are below Aston Villa and any team below Aston Villa are trying to win.  They will.  Newcastle are probably already too busy looking for their next two managers (may as well be prepared and have a successor to the next failure).  I hear Harry Redknapp is available.

Manchester City have to win to keep their remote fantasies alive.

Bit of a rush these last two weeks. I will be more prepared next time.  I promise.  Oh crap.. that’s Tuesday!

March 21, 2015 Premier League Picks

Just the picks this week.

21-Mar 2015  
Manchester City 2-1West Bromwich Albion
Stoke City 1-0Crystal Palace
Tottenham Hotspur 2-1Leicester City
Southampton1-0Burnley
Newcastle United1-1Arsenal
Aston Villa 1-1Swansea City
West Ham United0-1Sunderland
22-Mar 2015
Liverpool2--0Manchester United
Queens Park Rangers2-2Everton
Hull City0-1Chelsea

March 14, 2015 Premier League Picks

Not sure if I will get time to make better picks this week – as I’m on a vacation – so this is my initial pre-analysis guesses  predictions.  I certainly don’t have time to come up with decent commentary or something witty.   My heart wants Chelsea to drop points, my gut says Spurs have had their run, and I’m sure Jonjo will score against Liverpool.

Other than that? It’s anyone’s game!

14-Mar 2015  
Crystal Palace 2-1Queens Park Rangers
West Bromwich Albion2-2Stoke City
Sunderland1-0Aston Villa
Leicester City0-1Hull City
Arsenal2-0West Ham United
Burnley1-3Manchester City
15-Mar 2015
Chelsea 1-1Southampton
Manchester United 2-1Tottenham Hotspur
Everton2-0Newcastle United
16-Mar 2015
Swansea City1-2Liverpool

 

This post as of 12:18 am 3-13-2015 –  I may come and re-edit later.

FA Cup, Round 6

Didn’t have the access so I didn’t post this but here were my picks as chosen.

FA Cup 6th
Liverpool 2-1 Blackburn
Manchester United  0-2 Arsenal
Aston Villa  0-1 West Brom
Bradford  1-0 Reading

Green are those that have correctly guessed each round til the present.

March 4, 2015 Premier League Picks

Another set of midweek games and looking for another potential surprise – Aston Villa scoring twice being yesterday’s shocker.   Perhaps it’s the new coaching and tactics he’s brought to the fray.

Using FA Coaching Badge 101
04-Mar 2015  
Stoke City0-1Everton
Tottenham Hotspur2-1Swansea City
Newcastle United1-1Manchester United
Manchester City3-0Leicester City
West Ham
1-1Chelsea
QPR0-2Arsenal
Liverpool2-2Burnley

This week’s picks are kind of random and go against the normal trends of recent form, home advantage and are following the approach of Timmy.   Some of the results I’ve picked are more wishful thinking than sensible predictions – I really don’t want Chelsea to extend or maintain their lead on top.

All signs point to trouble at Everton who are closer to relegation than Europe and facing another tough game against a giraffe and his 10 friends.  I don’t see any miracle headers this week so a sneaky away win it is.

Spurs were disappointing at Wembley.    Kyle Walker has been playing well recently and looked hobbled.  Ericsen is keeping the midfield ticking over but it’s going to be out wide that will make the difference.  If Andros Townsend can learn to cross the ball they should win because somehow Harry Kane will get on the end of it.

The difference between Newcastle and Manchester United is that somehow Manchester United are racking up points while being generally unconvincing.    The teams around Man U are picking up points as well now so the European spot is looking more and more difficult.. or maybe LVG is just making it look that way.

City look inept and great.  They have 11 good players and one team that doesn’t fit together but they’re playing Leicester and they look to be propping up the table for the long haul.  Another convincing win will have us still not writing off their title chances.  Hopefully, Navas  will play instead of Nasri who seems to have an allergy to going backwards or helping out when his team is not on the ball.

Chelsea. We know John Terry probably celebrated a bit too much.  West Ham is a hangover game and the Hammers will steal a draw (because a win is just so unlikely).

QPR in the bottom 3 and probably for good.  Arsenal in the top 3 and probably for good.

Liverpool are on a tear and have not lost in 2015.  This streak will continue; however, a tough Burnley team fighting  for their premiership life will make them more difficult than expece