May 16, 2015 Premier League Picks

Southampton have gone absent and all of a sudden Tim Sherwood is manager of the year and Benteke is the Aguero of Birmingham!  Technically, not yet safe it’s hard to see them pull a FA Cup and relegation double of Wigan.

Manager of the End of the Year?

West Ham and Everton have nothing to play for but pride and I’m not sure either team have any left, especially the underachieving team of Martin-ez. They’re at least safe but that’s falling short of  beginning of the year expectations.

Big Six pointer at Sunderland against Leicester city who are on an unbelievable run of seven wins in eight games.  While that should have left them safe they started so many points back that they are still in the thick of the relegation bubble.  A loss to Sunderland drops them back into the final day consideration for the drop.

Harry Kane and the rest of Spurs are absent and have been for a while … it’s hard to see them winning unless you are on the A503

Except Walthamstow

Burnley have been trying hard all year so it’s only fair that after the final bell and the fight is over they can collapse and take stock of how beaten up they have become.  They punched above their weight but the bigger men are always stronger but there’s a couple of minutes left so they’re going to go down swinging.
QPR are a mess that we can look forward to going down – overpaid, overprivileged, and looking around at each other trying to figure out what to do.  Last week their hammering came in part because no one on the team were ware that they wereon a team.

What is it we’re trying to do again?

Liverpool will win the last home game of Stevie G.  A loss would be inexcusable.

16-May 2015  
Southampton 1-2Aston Villa
West Ham United1-1Everton
Sunderland2-0Leicester City
Tottenham Hotspur 1-1Hull City
Burnley2-1Stoke City
Queens Park Rangers1-2Newcastle United
Liverpool2-0Crystal Palace
17-May 2015  
Swansea City1-2Manchester City
Manchester United2-2Arsenal

Both Manchester City and Arsenal want to wrap up an automatic European spot for next year.  Aguero also wants to wrap up his scoring title and that should be easy (especially as Harry Kane is out of the purple and into the will it continue for him patch).

Arsenal were the best team in the country until they lost to Swansea.  You ever get the feeling that Arsene doesn’t want to feel comfortable in his job? I’ve got 2nd wrapped up but maybe the fans enjoy more if we finish 3rd?  A draw in the old toilet game makes the game in hand a must win but do you deserve Europe if you can’t get a must  win at home against Sunderland?   I don’t think so either but I still prefer the European cup old style- Champions in a knock out.  The fact that Stevie G has a European cup but not title doesn’t compute in my universe.

18-May 2015  
West Bromwich Albion1-0Chelsea

West Brom will beat Chelsea for the simple reason that it doesn’t matter.  Both have managers who like the defensive side of the ball when it’s not necessary to push so it should be 0-0 but I have this feeling West Brom want to win more.

20-May 2015  
Arsenal1-0Sunderland

It’s a game in hand that Arsenal win and  leaves Sunderland still looking down at the teams below them for the final week.

 

April 11, 2015 Premier League Picks

At an interesting point in the season where we’re left to be excited about a Manchester derby, relegation battles, and the potential automatic European spots. In other words everyone outside of SW doesn’t care about the Premier League anymore.   That is, of course, for those of us not watching the battle at the top of the old second division.

2nd

If Bournemouth hadn’t beaten Brighton today it would look even closer but it’s definitely tight at the top.

But this is Premier League picks and not a “fingers crossed for a Watford victory” post!

Really only one interesting game today as the former Spurs manager Mr Guts and Hearts shows up at White Heart Lane (yes that was deliberate) with his new team and hat trick hero Benteke in tow.

Just One Win…please?

Everton have finally quashed the notion that they could relegation fodder and should be looking to make an end of season surge to mid-table mediocrity.  Swansea are already positions there and will be looking to not fall to bottom half mediocrity.  It’s hard to imagine anything less than a hotly contested game when the level of mediocrity is at stake.  Everton playing in Wales will bring it home.

Leicester feel the excitement of a win and then immediately feel the disappointment of the teams above them matching their 3 points.  Deflated, I expect them to fall to a team that is eager to show improvement after being whipped last week at home against QPR.

Leicester City

 

 

 

 

 

West Ham have shown their true class since the Christmas period – lower and falling.  Stoke has not been much better.  Tied on 42 pts which is typically the pre-season relegation avoidance target, both will move to the safety of 43 pts.

And then we get to Spurs taking on their former manager:

Saw my mate,
the other day,
said he saw, the White pele,
said to find him at White hart lane
goes by the name of Harry Kane”

Eventually he will be found wanting but not by Aston Villa.

Pardiola has kept up both Crystal Palace and Newcastle this year – individually those are feats of merit. Together he should be considered a lock for manager of the year.  Sunderland with a big derby win last week will carry momentum into the game and walk away with a boring one niller.

Southampton are slowly falling out of European contention and desperately need a win and some favorable results to keep them alive.  Hull on the other hand are slowly falling out of any contention and into the relegation danger area and need favorable results to keep them alive.  Southampton win.

Arsenal are the in form team and will continue to put some pressure on Chelsea.

Low Pressure…

11-Apr 2015  
Swansea City0-1Everton
West Bromwich Albion2-1Leicester City
West Ham United1-1Stoke City
Tottenham Hotspur2-0Aston Villa
Sunderland2-1Crystal Palace
Southampton2-1Hull City
Burnley1-3Arsenal

Chelsea meet a decidedly stubborn QPR but will once again come away with a victory and Hazard will continue to amass popular opinion points that he is player of the year by scoring a penalty.  The commentator will amass popular hate points by pointing out that he looks at the goalkeeper when scoring the penalty…*yawn* … did you know that Panenka….*zzz*…. some stories get old.

Old Toilet.  It’s where Manchester United play (officially located outside of Manchester) and describes Manchester City’s defense.  Citeh look like they’ve given up.  Ya Ya runs around like he’s still looking for his birthday cake and belting the ball mostly off target (yes, I know he scored).  Manchester United have continuously over achieved and they will continue to do so with a lack luster draw.

12-Apr 2015  
Queens Park Rangers1-2Chelsea
Manchester United1-1Manchester City

Brendan manages to figure out how to make Sterling, Coutinho, and Sturridge play together.  Result is a respectably scored massacre.

13-Apr 2015  
Liverpool2-0Newcastle United.

April 7, 2015 Premier League Picks

Things were so interesting today with Watford scoring a 2-0 win over Middlesborough with Troy Deeney scoring 20 goals three seasons in a row …

Short Stuffing

… that I almost didn’t notice that Manchester Citeh will be going into the Old Toilet looking up at the team from “almost Manchester”.   What has happened to a team full of aging stars that want to leave, aren’t any good, or just don’t have the class of younger talent, backed with the most overrated goalkeeper in the league?   One would think that with all they’ve spent they would be giving James Boring Milner away.  They should be begging him to stay like they did Frank Lampard for the last few months.  With financial fair play it’s hard to know what Citeh are going to do to rebuild.  They can offload players at a loss and start again – or can they?  What a mess.  Worst defense of the title since Leeds back in 1992-3 – if that counts as a Premier League defense.

But what about them Eagles?  Looks like Pardew should be manager of the year for keeping the inept Newcastle and Crystal Palace up in the same year!   Of course some say that this win was because Citeh confused their shirts for Barcelona and gave up before the game even started.

 

Barcelona Shirt (No Sponsor)
Crystal Palace Shirt

Perhaps next year they can look for a new manager  current odds are:

  • Pep Guardiola 5-1
  • Alan Pardiola 14-1

Leicester City must be gutted this week to final win and then see the three teams above them win.  Well this day they have some luck because some of their competition for last are playing each other.   It’s hard to go for QPR away but I’ve been insistent that Villa will go down since week 1 and that’s the only prediction I made that will come true*

07-Apr 2015  
Aston Villa0-1Queens Park Rangers

*It should be noted that I actually had Chelsea to win the title but I hate Mourinho so much I couldn’t even bear to put them top so I put them down lower.   This year is practice for next year anyway – I’m developing formula for predictology that I will institute next year to get my prediction percentage up to around something better than crap (which is where I am right now).

April 5, 2015 Premier League Picks

Critical game for Liverpool if their intentions are to not allow Steven Gerrard to ruin two consecutive seasons.  A six point swing here will see Liverpool well off the pace for a top three and still a couple of wins back from Manchester “how the hell are they this high in the table” United.

How you let yourself get sent off against your arch-nemesis in a key game after 50 seconds is impossible to comprehend.  How you can play for your boyhood team for 20 years and be a legend and then potentially ruin it in your last two seasons could be a very sad end to a great career.

Red Card for Gerrard

Oh wait, that’s not the game.

Gerrard with another Red Card

That’s better.  He’s done it before maybe it’s his brain.

And for completeness.

Letting the Title Slip Away

Anyway – I let the domain expire and spent a good deal of time getting it renewed and back.  I would have done it this afternoon but I was busy watching a referee almost blow Watford’s season to smithereens with a dubious red card (not the first) … but ended up watching a heroic away draw against Derby County with a goal from Ighalo

Ighalo – Again!

All I know is that the kid above will be in the Premier League next year.  Who for is unknown but he will be there.

04-Apr 2015  
Arsenal2-1Liverpool
West Bromwich Albion 2-0Queens Park Rangers
Manchester United1-1Aston Villa
Swansea City 2-1Hull City
Everton 1-0Southampton
Leicester City 2-1West Ham United
Chelsea2-0Stoke City
05-Apr 2015
Burnley1-2Tottenham Hotspur
Sunderland2-1Newcastle United
06-Apr 2015
Crystal Palace1-2Manchester City

A quick summary.

Arsenal are on a good run and at home they can beat anyone.  Liverpool have been playing well but with Sturridge back we’ve seen the return of a top striker; however, at the cost of form from Coutinho.

West Bromwich Albion have been slowly getting closer and closer to the drop but they’re at home against the team that seems to have just given up and resigned itself to a fate in the old 2nd Division next year.

Manchester United have been horrible this year but are still up near the top.  Aston Villa have been horrible this year and are deservedly near the bottom of the table.  But Villa scored multiple times last week and so I have to believe they have a good chance.

Everton are on the upswing.  They are focused on the league and tired of looking over their own shoulder at the relegation picture.  Better than their position and, on paper, better than their play to date.

Leicester are playing Jesus this year… they plan on coming back from the dead and they’re starting this weekend.

Swansea are higher in the table and at home.   Hull are struggling.

Chelsea will win.  They are Chelsea.

I’m tired of saying that Harry Kane is over-chieving so this week I have high expectations for Spurs.

Sunderland are below Aston Villa and any team below Aston Villa are trying to win.  They will.  Newcastle are probably already too busy looking for their next two managers (may as well be prepared and have a successor to the next failure).  I hear Harry Redknapp is available.

Manchester City have to win to keep their remote fantasies alive.

Bit of a rush these last two weeks. I will be more prepared next time.  I promise.  Oh crap.. that’s Tuesday!

March 14, 2015 Premier League Picks

Not sure if I will get time to make better picks this week – as I’m on a vacation – so this is my initial pre-analysis guesses  predictions.  I certainly don’t have time to come up with decent commentary or something witty.   My heart wants Chelsea to drop points, my gut says Spurs have had their run, and I’m sure Jonjo will score against Liverpool.

Other than that? It’s anyone’s game!

14-Mar 2015  
Crystal Palace 2-1Queens Park Rangers
West Bromwich Albion2-2Stoke City
Sunderland1-0Aston Villa
Leicester City0-1Hull City
Arsenal2-0West Ham United
Burnley1-3Manchester City
15-Mar 2015
Chelsea 1-1Southampton
Manchester United 2-1Tottenham Hotspur
Everton2-0Newcastle United
16-Mar 2015
Swansea City1-2Liverpool

 

This post as of 12:18 am 3-13-2015 –  I may come and re-edit later.

Oh Forestieri!

Dubbed the Lionel Messi of the old 2nd Division, Forestieri is a great player that has been on loan to Watford.

We have suffered our share of bad decisions.  Many against the top teams so not-quite-evening-out-over-the-course-of-the-season but that doesn’t excuse the dive of the year.

In further news, things are ridiculously close but I’m glad we’re in the mix.

table

Where did Brentford come from?

FA Cup, Round 6

Didn’t have the access so I didn’t post this but here were my picks as chosen.

FA Cup 6th
Liverpool 2-1 Blackburn
Manchester United  0-2 Arsenal
Aston Villa  0-1 West Brom
Bradford  1-0 Reading

Green are those that have correctly guessed each round til the present.

March 7, 2015 Premier League Picks

Just the one game which is good because I don’t have much time.

07-Mar 2015  
QPR1-2Tottenham Hotspur

Key stats:

Queens Park Rangers have won none of their last 10 Premier League London derbies
Harry Kane has scored 12 goals in his last 12 Premier League appearances.

So expect Harry Kane to score and QPR prepare to not win.  That would be 1-1 then because Spurs are incapable of just winning easily.

Week of Feb 21, 2015 Premier League Picks

Another week already. Not a lot to say this week – more European football, more racist fans at Chelsea.

What’s that ? You were unaware Mr Chosen One?

We all know that Mourinho’s issues are not with men that are black as much as it is the men in black 🙂

21-Feb 2015  
Sunderland1-1West Bromwich Albion
Swansea City1-1Manchester United
Aston Villa1-1Stoke City
Hull City2-0Queens Park Rangers
Crystal Palace1-2Arsenal
Chelsea3-0Burnley
Manchester City 3-1Newcastle United

Sunderland are boring………  and they’re on a losing trend against a team that has been showing signs of life since Tony Pullis came to town and took over.  A point will be valuable but it’s not the result either are looking for.  To be fair, they probably look for wins each week but just  haven’t been able find enough.

Swansea beat Man United opening day and the world rejoiced the beginning of the new Total Football Dutch era.  If you look at the opening week’s team and the current team you’d be forgiven for thinking that this is a different team… well it is.   Not sure who can score for Man United with their best striker in midfield.   I expect a 1-0 lead to be held at the end of the 90 minutes only for it to be relinquished to a Fellaini long ball header.

I had Villa going down but now they have a new exciting manager in Tim Sherwood.  Now they’re going down with heart and guts.

Hull City are going to start making a run up the table with the hopes of finishing 16th or higher and what better way to start than beating a QPR team in desperate need of results.

Arsenal are playing well and Alan Pardew is not a good enough manager and the honeymoon is over.  It has to be at some point.

Chelsea and Man City?   Now that Ya Ya is back they will win all the way to their 1-2 finish.

22-Feb 2015  
Tottenham Hotspur2-1West Ham
Everton2-0Leicester City
Southampton 1-2Liverpool

Learning from mistakes is something that you must do to grow as a human and as a person.  After saying Harry was not all that great he went ahead and score a couple of goals.  I also learned not to best against West Ham.. however, that was much longer ago and they’ve lost since and they will lose again.

Everton will turn it around.  Everton will turn it around. Everton will turn it around.  Finally.

The talk this week has been all about Balotelli and Liverpool and goals!  This is an unexpected twist in the Liverpool and Super Mario relationship. He’s playing?
He’s scoring?

He’s creating needless controversy by acting like a spoilt brat? Of course.

Liverpool are a more threatening team with Sturridge back.  With Mario now scoring off the bench they are a formidable opponent (qualifying for Champions league via Europa?)  Time for some Southampton shortcomings to show up – they’re well managed, positively playing ut open to the counter and I expect Liverpool to shake things up in the Top 5. Should be a good end of year to determine the final spots.

Let Him Have It Not So Super MarioEither way it was a a good awa