I’m sure you’ve wondered how the table would have looked if all your results were completely accurate. Who would have one the league (you’d think we’d all have realized at some point that Citeh would win)? Who would come last? Do we favour our own teams? Let’s find out.
Most Accurate Table (Only 38 of 38 weeks) It shouldn’t be a surprise that the winner had the most accurate table. It’s fairly even across the board with the lower end and higher end biases as you’d expect in a prediction game. The big anomalies were Crystal Palace and Watford (this will be a theme).
Most Accurate Table (Only 35 of 38 weeks) LS seems to think he had a terrible year but in the 35 games picked his table reflected the final table quite accurately – getting the Top 6 and the Bottom 2. The biggest delta was again… the Hornet Moosemen
You’ve Got to Be Kidding Table I don’t know who this ME guy is but I think it’s safe to say he’s somewhat biased showing a rather optimistic view of Spuds. It’s probably not unreasonable to suggest his loss to the arch-nemesis AM may have come as a direct result of the nonsense that is a season that has the “super invincibles” – a team that wins 98% of it’s games!
You’ve Got to Be Kidding Table (Runner Up)
I really don’t understand anyone who thinks a Jose team will ever score 104 points in a year.
My Table I would say that this table is pretty decent outside of my constant belief over the winter break that the Hornets would step out of their slump. They didn’t. I was also fooled by WBA who I consistently believed were better than they were (or better than they played at least).
The Rest Impressed that you actually stayed honest with your picks and put Citeh ahead of the Reds. Watford too high.
No surprises here….Watford too high..
Watford too high…..but a Liverpool fan are you? You’re in the Europa League and United are 2nd? This is the pick against Liverpool theory you’ve mentioned – you might lose the game but at least you get the pick… if you win the game who cares about the pick!
All year your picks are better than your results.
Average Tables and Slip The below is the average table and the slippage that we collectively picked.
Finally the results are up – the winner of the season are as shown!
This is confusing but I’ve created tables so that everyone can see where they ranked for all the weeks that they played. Six of us managed to pick every single week. If I do this again next year I’ll probably come up with some default method of scoring – default to 0-0 draws.
And the Winner IS BE!
Some interesting take-aways here.
Despite losing in the regular point scoring system, I actually won using the alternate points system. I will take this as I know that during discussions we actually all agreed that this was the fairest scoring system as it accounts for getting number of goals correct (i.e. picking a 1-1 draw when it’s 3-1 would score a point).
We had also discussed the scoring bias for draws and there is show to be true with the current system.
Next year the alternate scoring system.
You win a great prize:
Unfortunately, if you are not here to pick it up in person it goes to the next placed position. That would be 2nd… and it’s ME!
There is also a runner-up prize:
The runner-up also needs to be here in person and they are…. because it’s ME!
How did you Compare Trying to keep things a fair comparison – these tables show how you finished in the games where you played.
AM will be happy because he will probably win a prize (donated by ME) I don’t know what it is but it will look something like this:
And here are the rest…. it’s very disappointing to see ME at the bottom so much.
Luckily we have LJ to prop us all up.
What about Mark Lawrenson and the Super Computer?
I can’t be sure to get all Lawro’s picks correct because sometimes the picks don’t get published but it’s the best I can do. The Supercomputers feature heavily in the top half of the table. Last year’s “winner” was SC3 and despite a very poor start to the year it slowly climbed up the table.
This year BE held off the human and automated challengers.
Tomorrow I will post your tables and the head-to-heads and maybe a few comments.
So looking at the data I noticed that my final table didn’t match the actual table. I had given Watford an extra win over Chelsea, I had Southampton and West Ham scoring more goals than they did against each other and a few hiccups here and there. It took me while to go through all 38 weeks worth of games to get everything perfectly right and I’m happy to announce that I’m done.
This effort and re-calculation did have a rather interesting impact on some of the positions – I’ll let AM and ME figure out what this means for their respective free/expensive beer consumption! There will also be some controversy at the top of the tables when the winners are revealed.
Luckily I am the Commissioner!!
I will post the full results tomorrow or the day after with the following:
Your record against others for all games
Your table versus the actual table (you thought 100 points was impressive? Wait until you see some of the predictions!)
Your record in the league table where you actually picked (I’ll try to do this)
What did the Supercomputers do this year and how will the algorithms be updated?
And anything else you ask
This week’s final results:
Well done JE and I’m not sure but AM may regret this week…
So there are a few more games this week thrown in on a Tuesday.
This week there are a few critical games.
At the Bottom Somewhere West Brom fans are hoping for a Leicester miracle but it’s unlikely that Swansea and Southampton will play to a draw and then both lose their final game. The Boing-Boings will lose the spring in their step sooner or later and have to hope they can Boing their way back up next year.
There is still a chance that Huddersfield could be relegated. They end the season against Chelsea (who really want to win) and Arsenal (who will be sending off Arsene) so are staring two defeats in a row. If I were them I would be hoping for Southampton inflicting a heavy defeat on the Swans. The EPL would finally be truly the EPL by losing the Welsh… but then Cardiff is waiting in the wings! I don’t care but why call it the EPL? Will Gerrard get Rangers promoted to the EPL – or will he just get his ex-gaffer’s job.
At the Top
It’s a done deal for Citeh but they are still two wins from the triple digit points so will be looking to score more goals than they did against Huddersfield.
It’s getting tight with (scraping wins) Chelsea team and (stuttering) Spurs team still able to leapfrog Liverpool into the Top 4. There is something romantic about winning the Champions League without ever actually being a Champion and not qualifying for the next year’s CL.
Harry Kane has gone a little cold and will be praying for a few crucial goals.
In Other News
In other (good) news, SAF is up and talking about his results after suffering a brain hemorrhage. No word on whether he has given any nurses the hair dryer treatment yet. It’s nice to see some of the managerial acrimony put on pause for a change.
Also Wenger won a mini-league trophy!
Wenger managed his last game at home.
Everyone seems to think he was forced out (he was) and everyone seems to think he’ll manage somewhere else (he’s hungry)…. but it’s hard to re-dedicate yourself to someone else after you’ve given your life to them. It’s not like he’s had a bit of Monaco on the side… or had a mistress in Marseille. Let’s see if the Arse cock this up by bringing in an unqualified former player in the hopes of former glory. Arteta – he’s been an assistant, he’ll do. At least they don’t have the grand Moyesy succession plan!
Sorry that I won’t be using all your comments this week – I do read each and every one of them. There is also a comment option on each post if you’re interested in that (assuming you’ve read this far – I don’t have any evidence of that because I don’t use any tracking software).
I will use one though AM: “Nothing can Possibly go wrong!!” You got that prediction wrong! 1-0?
If you know anything about Fantasy Football you will know that this week is a double game week meaning that there are a run of close games.
Please pick for Tuesday while you’re here on the site.
Lazy this week because I went out for Ramen and a Show (both pretty decent). Will post all the actual predictions this weekend. Will try to think of an amusing sub-plot. Right now? I’m yawning and yearning for sleep…… so here’s a quick stream-of-consciousness.
AM: “Let’s give this runaway train a little more momentum! So looking forward to the first LWGC v KGC match in June & sharing a beer with ME!. . . . :-)” There’s no runaway train in the head-to-head match up between the two of you. I think whoever wins should buy the other their own beer. Here’s how things stand right now at a game level.
BE: “Some pretty unexpected results in Europe as well! It’s not that we are bad at trying to predict the results, it’s just that the teams don’t play to their potential or don’t put their best team out, or the referees make a mistake, or someone gets sent off or injured……..” This sounds like the comment from someone losing and not someone winning! Or an Arsenal fan…or even bit Jose-ish. I find the issue is that teams tend to allow too many goals in the last minutes ruining perfect scores. I’m 100% certain I would be winning if games ended at 88 mins.
KMFE: “asdb c asawrfxkhas sdaalsdc hcoasdanzazz zzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzz” Someone went out late to see OMD and was barely alive when entering their picks! Let’s see how you do….
LJ: “Chelski will record a flurry of draws in the business end of the season.”
Maybe but who’s going to win the CL? Liverpool to slay Roma and defeat the Germans in the final? Slay Roma and have Salah outperform Ronaldo?
I’m taking Madrid over Liverpool 3-1 in the final though I’m hoping for a Liverpool win. I would love to be in Trafford (just outside of Manchester) if Citeh won the league, Liverpool won CL. Of course the FA Cup matters.
ME: “I fully expect Man Pretty to play their socks off… hoping Spurs can withstand and score a couple of breakaway goals.” I do prefer JE’s name for Citeh… and I should note that if they play their socks off it’s unlikely that Spurs will win so bit of a wild-card pick.
ME: “United and Liverpool should dominate if they have proper teams on the field! ” Sounding a lot like BE… are you copying again? Better watch it or AM will accuse you two of match-fixing or tampering.
AB: “Who ate all the pies?”
I don’t remember when you said that as it was a few weeks back…. but don’t go eating pies on the TV or you’ll get in serious trouble!
Let’s hope we all do better this week! I don’t remember what I picked so I’m not sure how my analysis will impact my scores and how it will impact teams so that they don’t play to their potential or don’t put their best team out, or the referees make a mistake, or someone gets sent off or injured…
Burnley V Leicester City
Both teams are safe. Burnley has not been the defensive team they were earlier in the year but Mahrez on a two game drought and Vardy only shows up against top tier teams… Burnley is in 7th??!? Vardy with a brace in a non-winning cause.
Crystal Palace V Brighton & Hove Albion
CP have been doing well without results so at home they should win. But you know what they say about teams that should win? Sometimes they don’t play to their potential or the referees make mistakes. The most likely mistake is Zaha getting a penalty he doesn’t deserve… so Palace take it.
Huddersfield Town V Watford Everyone keeps saying Watford are safe but they aren’t. Watford will keep this tight looking for one more important point. In the 95th minute the Terriers will score.
Liverpool V Bournemouth Who knows? Salah probably won’t play… after an exciting week in Europe… a lack-luster result is due.
Manchester United V West Bromwich Albion WBA are doing everything they can to avoid playing Wolves next year. Lambs to the slaughter. A win here and a Citeh loss and we’re looking at a 7point gap… exciting end to the season?
Newcastle United V Arsenal The only reason anyone cares about this game is to see if Aubameyang scores… he won’t but Wellbeck is Wellgood.
Southampton V Chelsea Flurry of draws. I’m tired and what LJ said sounds like the words of a professional prognosticator. How can he or I get Mark Lawrenson’s job?
Swansea City V Everton Sam Allardyce needs to go. Swansea have Jose Junior and appear to be heading to safety.
Tottenham Hotspur V Manchester City Symbolically speaking: Kane (Cain/Cane) is evil. Jesus is good. Citeh win!
Normally speaking: Kane at home and Citeh on the ropes. CIteh win!
You’re a Citeh fan called KMFE: Citeh Win!
You’re a Spurs fan called ME: Spurs Win!
Toss a coin.
West Ham United V Stoke City Despite my desire to see the Hammers go down…they aren’t.
It appears my summary tactics from last week were a success as I posted a high score. This didn’t seem like a challenging week from a pick standpoint but it was still surprising to see that we only had a lone player with a single-digit score. Well done AM!
So – another tied win for me but not enough to really close the gap on BE. [Edit: As pointed out in Week 33 entries it was also a good week for KMFE a weekly winner who loses the alphabetic tie-breaker but wins on the Alt-Points tie-breaker system. Congrats]
Don’t forget picks. Analysis tomorrow and some comments on the midweek Champions League.
The F.A. Cup has been played. International friendly matches have been played so it’s time to get back into the groove.
I haven’t sorted out everyone’s entries this week yet but that’s because of one of the many excuses I have…. got jigsaw puzzles that don’t build themselves, TV shows that need viewers or they won’t get advertising, food that volunteered as dinner, sleeping that needs catching up on… and of course I needed to do research for the last few weeks to try and catch up with the leader (and stay ahead of the pack).
This weeks quotes: AM: “Happy Easter. BIG push starts right HERE!” For GGMU or for you? Happy Easter all around.
JE: “Haven’t watched any recent footy.” Already starting with the excuses!
JE:”Watford win again. Big game Chelsea and spurs. I think Chelsea will steal it near the end. “
I wish I was as confident about the Moosemen. We’ve been pretty dire and as long as we stick with Deeney up-front I’m not sure where the goals are coming from (this is taking into consideration that Deulefeu isn’t around to dive in the box, Richarlison wants to be elsewhere, and Doucoure is already thinking of his summer move to United to replace the Pogs.
ME: “It’s getting rather congested at the bottom and I’m not sure who is going to make the great escape. So I will predict a few draws with just a handful of goals.”
In other words, you are continuing your practice of guessing. It does seem that youhave taken on the advice of BE who informed you that you have increased odds of scoring high if you pick draws.
Obvious CaptionKMFE: “Won’t end up watching a ton of these, but look like fun games on the whole. After the asinine interview Karren Brady gave the Guardian this week, I am rooting a bit for Pin the Tail on the West Ham Donkeys… ” Poor Joe Hart.
Quick Match Summary Whenever I do these summaries I end up with a lousy weekly score. For some reason it’s almost as if documenting my thoughts cements failure. I’m doing it this week anyway just for you (that would be BE/ME/JE – I don’t think anyone else reads this).
Arsenal V Stoke City Aubameyang will not score against a really quality Stoke team that will look to maintain a great run with another victory.
Brighton & Hove Albion V Leicester City
Either Brighton or Leicester will dominate and many goals will be scored at each end. The final result will definitely not be two teams tied.
Chelsea V Tottenham Hotspur
Spuds are without Kane but “Nice One” Son will score a hat-trick at least and Chelsea will end the day firmly entrenched as a favorite for the coveted Europe League place.
Crystal Palace V Liverpool Palace usually have no problem scoring but Liverpool are renowned for their strong defensive posture. It can only be 0-0.
Everton V Manchester City Citeh are a modest team who have fans that will not want to win the title at Old Trafford – there is tremendous respect between the Eastland fans of Manchester and the Red Devil fans of Trafford and Beyond. A surprise Everton win.
Manchester United V Swansea City Unlike Liverpool, Manchester United are an attacking force with no designs on ever defending. This will be a goal fest with Swansea eeking out a win.
Newcastle United V Huddersfield Town Huddersfield are a power away from home and will score a great victory. The Newcastle fans will still feel that everything is on the right path and will stage a peaceful pitch invasion to beg the current ownership to stay on and not make any hasty decisions on setting up a transfer kitty.
Watford V Bournemouth The hornets have been on a great run since the disappointing start of the season despite the amicable parting of ways with Silva but the Cherries are a huge team and will probably score a victory.
West Bromwich Albion V Burnley The Boing Boings are due a boing (they never got their Pardew bounce) and Burnley are forever a disappointment to their fans. Should be an easy home win unless something shocking happens.
West Ham United V Southampton It’s the end of the year and the Hammers finally feel comfortable in their new home. Big victory for the team with the best CEO in the country.