I’m sure you’ve wondered how the table would have looked if all your results were completely accurate. Who would have one the league (you’d think we’d all have realized at some point that Citeh would win)? Who would come last? Do we favour our own teams? Let’s find out.
Most Accurate Table (Only 38 of 38 weeks) It shouldn’t be a surprise that the winner had the most accurate table. It’s fairly even across the board with the lower end and higher end biases as you’d expect in a prediction game. The big anomalies were Crystal Palace and Watford (this will be a theme).
Most Accurate Table (Only 35 of 38 weeks) LS seems to think he had a terrible year but in the 35 games picked his table reflected the final table quite accurately – getting the Top 6 and the Bottom 2. The biggest delta was again… the Hornet Moosemen
You’ve Got to Be Kidding Table I don’t know who this ME guy is but I think it’s safe to say he’s somewhat biased showing a rather optimistic view of Spuds. It’s probably not unreasonable to suggest his loss to the arch-nemesis AM may have come as a direct result of the nonsense that is a season that has the “super invincibles” – a team that wins 98% of it’s games!
You’ve Got to Be Kidding Table (Runner Up)
I really don’t understand anyone who thinks a Jose team will ever score 104 points in a year.
My Table I would say that this table is pretty decent outside of my constant belief over the winter break that the Hornets would step out of their slump. They didn’t. I was also fooled by WBA who I consistently believed were better than they were (or better than they played at least).
The Rest Impressed that you actually stayed honest with your picks and put Citeh ahead of the Reds. Watford too high.
No surprises here….Watford too high..
Watford too high…..but a Liverpool fan are you? You’re in the Europa League and United are 2nd? This is the pick against Liverpool theory you’ve mentioned – you might lose the game but at least you get the pick… if you win the game who cares about the pick!
All year your picks are better than your results.
Average Tables and Slip The below is the average table and the slippage that we collectively picked.
Finally the results are up – the winner of the season are as shown!
This is confusing but I’ve created tables so that everyone can see where they ranked for all the weeks that they played. Six of us managed to pick every single week. If I do this again next year I’ll probably come up with some default method of scoring – default to 0-0 draws.
And the Winner IS BE!
Some interesting take-aways here.
Despite losing in the regular point scoring system, I actually won using the alternate points system. I will take this as I know that during discussions we actually all agreed that this was the fairest scoring system as it accounts for getting number of goals correct (i.e. picking a 1-1 draw when it’s 3-1 would score a point).
We had also discussed the scoring bias for draws and there is show to be true with the current system.
Next year the alternate scoring system.
You win a great prize:
Unfortunately, if you are not here to pick it up in person it goes to the next placed position. That would be 2nd… and it’s ME!
There is also a runner-up prize:
The runner-up also needs to be here in person and they are…. because it’s ME!
How did you Compare Trying to keep things a fair comparison – these tables show how you finished in the games where you played.
AM will be happy because he will probably win a prize (donated by ME) I don’t know what it is but it will look something like this:
And here are the rest…. it’s very disappointing to see ME at the bottom so much.
Luckily we have LJ to prop us all up.
What about Mark Lawrenson and the Super Computer?
I can’t be sure to get all Lawro’s picks correct because sometimes the picks don’t get published but it’s the best I can do. The Supercomputers feature heavily in the top half of the table. Last year’s “winner” was SC3 and despite a very poor start to the year it slowly climbed up the table.
This year BE held off the human and automated challengers.
Tomorrow I will post your tables and the head-to-heads and maybe a few comments.
So looking at the data I noticed that my final table didn’t match the actual table. I had given Watford an extra win over Chelsea, I had Southampton and West Ham scoring more goals than they did against each other and a few hiccups here and there. It took me while to go through all 38 weeks worth of games to get everything perfectly right and I’m happy to announce that I’m done.
This effort and re-calculation did have a rather interesting impact on some of the positions – I’ll let AM and ME figure out what this means for their respective free/expensive beer consumption! There will also be some controversy at the top of the tables when the winners are revealed.
Luckily I am the Commissioner!!
I will post the full results tomorrow or the day after with the following:
Your record against others for all games
Your table versus the actual table (you thought 100 points was impressive? Wait until you see some of the predictions!)
Your record in the league table where you actually picked (I’ll try to do this)
What did the Supercomputers do this year and how will the algorithms be updated?
And anything else you ask
This week’s final results:
Well done JE and I’m not sure but AM may regret this week…
So there are a few more games this week thrown in on a Tuesday.
This week there are a few critical games.
At the Bottom Somewhere West Brom fans are hoping for a Leicester miracle but it’s unlikely that Swansea and Southampton will play to a draw and then both lose their final game. The Boing-Boings will lose the spring in their step sooner or later and have to hope they can Boing their way back up next year.
There is still a chance that Huddersfield could be relegated. They end the season against Chelsea (who really want to win) and Arsenal (who will be sending off Arsene) so are staring two defeats in a row. If I were them I would be hoping for Southampton inflicting a heavy defeat on the Swans. The EPL would finally be truly the EPL by losing the Welsh… but then Cardiff is waiting in the wings! I don’t care but why call it the EPL? Will Gerrard get Rangers promoted to the EPL – or will he just get his ex-gaffer’s job.
At the Top
It’s a done deal for Citeh but they are still two wins from the triple digit points so will be looking to score more goals than they did against Huddersfield.
It’s getting tight with (scraping wins) Chelsea team and (stuttering) Spurs team still able to leapfrog Liverpool into the Top 4. There is something romantic about winning the Champions League without ever actually being a Champion and not qualifying for the next year’s CL.
Harry Kane has gone a little cold and will be praying for a few crucial goals.
In Other News
In other (good) news, SAF is up and talking about his results after suffering a brain hemorrhage. No word on whether he has given any nurses the hair dryer treatment yet. It’s nice to see some of the managerial acrimony put on pause for a change.
Also Wenger won a mini-league trophy!
Wenger managed his last game at home.
Everyone seems to think he was forced out (he was) and everyone seems to think he’ll manage somewhere else (he’s hungry)…. but it’s hard to re-dedicate yourself to someone else after you’ve given your life to them. It’s not like he’s had a bit of Monaco on the side… or had a mistress in Marseille. Let’s see if the Arse cock this up by bringing in an unqualified former player in the hopes of former glory. Arteta – he’s been an assistant, he’ll do. At least they don’t have the grand Moyesy succession plan!
Sorry that I won’t be using all your comments this week – I do read each and every one of them. There is also a comment option on each post if you’re interested in that (assuming you’ve read this far – I don’t have any evidence of that because I don’t use any tracking software).
I will use one though AM: “Nothing can Possibly go wrong!!” You got that prediction wrong! 1-0?
Week 31 has one game left to be played and here are the current standings based on current games played.
Week 35 has a few games left to be played and here are the current standings based on games played.
Week 36 has no games left to be played and here are the final standings.
Congrats to JE on his weekly win.
Just THREE more games to go and the final results will be posted. I can tell you that First place seems to be set with a small chance of being given up. Last place is set with no chance of being given up and the rest of the places are too close to call… we have three people all within 1 point of each other.
Who is first? Who is last? Who knows…. just know that there is all to play for!
I will post again tomorrow with some insights into the remaining games and comment on some feedback as well as posting the predictions. I don’t expect anyone is really going to care about tomorrow’s game – Man U at Brighton…so the analysis is quick – Lukaku is out so I’m not sure who will score…. some say it will be Tony, some say Lingard and some say no-one will. The smart money is on Fellaini. Tough away win late.
Thanks for your patience and participation during this time where I haven’t kept up with things.
Well the next round of predictions are in. These will contribute to week’s 31 and 35 but I can’t announce the final results of those rounds until they are complete. I made the executive decision that scores would be based on the beginning of season scheduled round.
Weekly Comments AB: “BBC Football Player of the Year: De Bruyne vs Salah. Wish for Salah to be gonged. Both worthy of title.” Don’t think there is any doubt on this one. As great as KDB has been,Salah allowed Liverpool to sell Coutinho, play Mane into form, and keep the point ticking over. Liverpool would be out of the top 4 without him.
ME: “Hope that Spuds and United try hard before the w/e…
Can’t believe Southampton can pull off a big escape…probably another failed prediction”
Man United will not try hard – JM has already said he’s going second string. I don’t think the 3rd place team has extra qualifying games in Champions League 2018 so maybe it doesn’t matter. Still, I would think 2nd is demanded by the fans and Liverpool are right on their heals. Spurs need to win to really remove what heart (if any) is left in the Chelski team. They don’t even appear to be playing for places with Conte on the way out.
Pegged Saints to go down for a while and I don’t see that changing. Brighton has the worst schedule ever had it been the meat of the season. With most things decided they might get some points.
Results As the results came in last week I expected a really low set of scores. Man U being upset at home (with predictions of 3-0 and 5-0 clearly a shock). I would have thought Arsenal was a surprise but apparently we have on person who was on the ball this week. A great week – wins at the picks and sees his team clinch promotion….
And the winner by a country mile.
The 13 point differential from first to last has to be close to the biggest gaps ever… so congrats to LS.
ME is going to need a late run to catch up with AM.
Everyone is going to need a miracle to catch up with BE.
Speaking of BE…. Hope your birthday is more celebrated than Ya-Ya’s.I know it’s a little early – but so is the title win… and this way I don’t forget to post on Friday!
And congratulations to the Citeh – English Premier League Champions!
If you know anything about Fantasy Football you will know that this week is a double game week meaning that there are a run of close games.
Please pick for Tuesday while you’re here on the site.
Lazy this week because I went out for Ramen and a Show (both pretty decent). Will post all the actual predictions this weekend. Will try to think of an amusing sub-plot. Right now? I’m yawning and yearning for sleep…… so here’s a quick stream-of-consciousness.
AM: “Let’s give this runaway train a little more momentum! So looking forward to the first LWGC v KGC match in June & sharing a beer with ME!. . . . :-)” There’s no runaway train in the head-to-head match up between the two of you. I think whoever wins should buy the other their own beer. Here’s how things stand right now at a game level.
BE: “Some pretty unexpected results in Europe as well! It’s not that we are bad at trying to predict the results, it’s just that the teams don’t play to their potential or don’t put their best team out, or the referees make a mistake, or someone gets sent off or injured……..” This sounds like the comment from someone losing and not someone winning! Or an Arsenal fan…or even bit Jose-ish. I find the issue is that teams tend to allow too many goals in the last minutes ruining perfect scores. I’m 100% certain I would be winning if games ended at 88 mins.
KMFE: “asdb c asawrfxkhas sdaalsdc hcoasdanzazz zzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzz” Someone went out late to see OMD and was barely alive when entering their picks! Let’s see how you do….
LJ: “Chelski will record a flurry of draws in the business end of the season.”
Maybe but who’s going to win the CL? Liverpool to slay Roma and defeat the Germans in the final? Slay Roma and have Salah outperform Ronaldo?
I’m taking Madrid over Liverpool 3-1 in the final though I’m hoping for a Liverpool win. I would love to be in Trafford (just outside of Manchester) if Citeh won the league, Liverpool won CL. Of course the FA Cup matters.
ME: “I fully expect Man Pretty to play their socks off… hoping Spurs can withstand and score a couple of breakaway goals.” I do prefer JE’s name for Citeh… and I should note that if they play their socks off it’s unlikely that Spurs will win so bit of a wild-card pick.
ME: “United and Liverpool should dominate if they have proper teams on the field! ” Sounding a lot like BE… are you copying again? Better watch it or AM will accuse you two of match-fixing or tampering.
AB: “Who ate all the pies?”
I don’t remember when you said that as it was a few weeks back…. but don’t go eating pies on the TV or you’ll get in serious trouble!
Let’s hope we all do better this week! I don’t remember what I picked so I’m not sure how my analysis will impact my scores and how it will impact teams so that they don’t play to their potential or don’t put their best team out, or the referees make a mistake, or someone gets sent off or injured…
Burnley V Leicester City
Both teams are safe. Burnley has not been the defensive team they were earlier in the year but Mahrez on a two game drought and Vardy only shows up against top tier teams… Burnley is in 7th??!? Vardy with a brace in a non-winning cause.
Crystal Palace V Brighton & Hove Albion
CP have been doing well without results so at home they should win. But you know what they say about teams that should win? Sometimes they don’t play to their potential or the referees make mistakes. The most likely mistake is Zaha getting a penalty he doesn’t deserve… so Palace take it.
Huddersfield Town V Watford Everyone keeps saying Watford are safe but they aren’t. Watford will keep this tight looking for one more important point. In the 95th minute the Terriers will score.
Liverpool V Bournemouth Who knows? Salah probably won’t play… after an exciting week in Europe… a lack-luster result is due.
Manchester United V West Bromwich Albion WBA are doing everything they can to avoid playing Wolves next year. Lambs to the slaughter. A win here and a Citeh loss and we’re looking at a 7point gap… exciting end to the season?
Newcastle United V Arsenal The only reason anyone cares about this game is to see if Aubameyang scores… he won’t but Wellbeck is Wellgood.
Southampton V Chelsea Flurry of draws. I’m tired and what LJ said sounds like the words of a professional prognosticator. How can he or I get Mark Lawrenson’s job?
Swansea City V Everton Sam Allardyce needs to go. Swansea have Jose Junior and appear to be heading to safety.
Tottenham Hotspur V Manchester City Symbolically speaking: Kane (Cain/Cane) is evil. Jesus is good. Citeh win!
Normally speaking: Kane at home and Citeh on the ropes. CIteh win!
You’re a Citeh fan called KMFE: Citeh Win!
You’re a Spurs fan called ME: Spurs Win!
Toss a coin.
West Ham United V Stoke City Despite my desire to see the Hammers go down…they aren’t.